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Home » Analyst warns Bitcoin should be down 40% after two weeks of chaos
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Analyst warns Bitcoin should be down 40% after two weeks of chaos

By November 6, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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Analyst warns Bitcoin should be down 40% after two weeks
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Bitcoin’s Resilience Amid Market Chaos

The cryptocurrency market has faced significant turmoil in recent weeks, marked by a major exchange hack, forced selling, a global market downturn, and a political shift in Congress due to midterm elections. Yet, amidst these challenges, Bitcoin continues to display noteworthy resilience.

Recent Challenges in the Crypto Market

The past two weeks have been particularly brutal for the cryptocurrency space. The large-scale hack on Binance, recognized as the most substantial breach in crypto history, significantly unsettled the market. This was compounded by the outcome of the midterm elections on November 3, which saw the Democrats regain control of both the House and Senate.

Following the election, market sentiments fluctuated sharply. Initially, there was a brief optimism regarding the potential for clearer regulatory guidelines through the stalled CLARITY Act, but this quickly reversed, contributing to a market selloff. On November 5, the Nasdaq fell into correction territory, prompting Bitcoin to shed over 5% of its value and erasing any gains it had made from the election results.

Market Liquidations and Impact

Further distress came as approximately $878 million in cryptocurrency positions were liquidated within a swift time frame of four hours, according to CoinGlass data. In the context of trading, liquidations occur when investors who leverage borrowed funds are compelled to close their positions as asset prices decline.

Resilience of Bitcoin

Despite these factors, Bitcoin has shown a degree of stability. Notably, instead of experiencing a plummet of around 40%—which some analysts predicted in a bear market—its decline has only reached about 13% from recent highs. As emphasized by crypto analyst Ash Crypto, “In a bear market, any one of these events could have triggered a massive crash.”

“Most of the panic sellers are already out,” Ash Crypto stated, suggesting that those who remained in the market during the chaos are unlikely to make further sales at this point.

Market Composition and Future Outlook

According to Ash Crypto, a significant indicator of the market’s potential recovery lies in the current composition of its participants. With many panic sellers having exited, the remaining investors—those who stayed the course during these turbulent times—are expected to maintain their positions.

While he anticipates a “next big rally,” no specific timeline or price targets have been provided. As the market navigates this turbulent phase, the ability to withstand further selling pressures will be crucial. As of now, Bitcoin trades at approximately $76,150, reflecting a 5.3% decrease over a 24-hour period, according to Decibel data.

Conclusion

Though the crypto market is experiencing substantial external pressures, Bitcoin’s comparative robustness offers a glimpse of optimism. Investors are keen to see if this resilience can sustain through potential future market sell-offs and emerge on a path toward recovery.

This article was first published by TheStreet on November 6, 2026.

Analyst Bitcoin Chaos Warns Weeks
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