College Football Coaching Changes: October 2023 Analysis
The college football coaching landscape is shifting, and the anticipated quiet cycle is becoming increasingly dynamic. Following the recent dismissals of head coaches at NC State and Baylor, the total number of FBS job openings has increased to three as we approach Halloween weekend. Here’s a closer look at the current coaching situations across various programs and the implications of these changes.
Key Coaching Situations
USC
Lincoln Riley’s tenure at USC is under scrutiny following disappointing performances, particularly after a tough loss to Wisconsin. Speculation surrounds his future, with some suggesting he may be interested in the recently vacated Baylor head coaching position. If Riley were to leave, it could potentially ease USC’s significant $70 million buyout obligation. Although Riley has affirmed his commitment to the school, stating, “I love it here,” industry sources anticipate a coaching change by 2027.
Florida State
Mike Norvell’s future at Florida State remains uncertain. While some believe he could stay into 2027 due to support from influential figures within the school, performance in the remaining games is crucial. A strong finish, particularly a significant match against Clemson, may influence decision-making. With a $50 million buyout in play and a lack of a permanent athletic director, the situation at FSU remains complex.
Rutgers
Despite rising speculation regarding Greg Schiano’s position, his $17 million buyout complicates any potential dismissal for Rutgers, particularly in light of their financial challenges. With a current record of 2-5 and a tough schedule ahead, the pressure is mounting, but the school may not act quickly.
TCU
Sonny Dykes faces growing concern after a slow start, especially following a 1-4 record against formidable opponents. Although TCU has invested in Dykes with a contract extension, frustrations within the program regarding consistent underperformance may prompt reconsideration. The abrupt leadership changes at the chancellor level add to the uncertainty, as there may be a push for a refreshed coaching direction.
South Carolina
Shane Beamer’s standing appears more secure after recent victories against ranked teams. With a current record providing opportunities for a successful season finish, South Carolina’s administration seems less inclined to pursue a coaching change if the positive trend continues.
Colorado
In Boulder, the atmosphere surrounding Deion Sanders is tense. Despite being in his first year, there are indications that the new athletic director could explore alternatives. Financial constraints may deter the university from a costly buyout; thus, the relationship’s future depends on performance improvements moving forward.
Michigan
Although not in the spotlight, Michigan is grappling with internal shifts. Athletic director Warde Manuel’s potential exit raises questions about head coach Kyle Whittingham’s future. A subpar season could push Michigan back into the coaching market, but first, the athletic department seeks to resolve its own leadership issues.
Group of Six Updates
Several programs in the Group of Six are also facing change:
- UTEP: Scotty Walden’s performance has been underwhelming, marking his third year with a poor record.
- Sam Houston: After failing to secure a victory this season, Phil Longo has been dismissed, complicating the transition with further administrative changes upcoming.
- Charlotte: With a disappointing record under Tim Albin, pressure is mounting despite hope for another year due to resource limitations.
- Tulane: Despite being in Year 1 under Will Hall, there are murmurs about potential changes in leadership.
